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CITY OF EL CERRITO 2015‐2023 HOUSING ELEMENT UPDATE 5 3 Community Workshop #1 July 19 2014 July 19, 2014 ---PAGE BREAK--- Agenda • Introductions Introductions • Presentation 1 H i El t O i 1. Housing Element Overview 2. Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) 3. Key Facts and Findings • Questions, Answers, Discussion El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 2 ---PAGE BREAK--- Resources • City Staff City Staff Community Development Department contacts: Hilde Myall, Housing Program Manager Hilde Myall, Housing Program Manager Margaret Development Services Manager • City’s Housing Element Web Page y g g For this workshop presentation and other information, please visit , p www.el‐cerrito.org/HousingElement El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 3 ---PAGE BREAK--- 1 Housing Element Element Overview 4 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Element Requirements • One of seven mandated general plan elements O e o se e a da ed ge e a p a e e e s • New 8‐year timeframe, set by State law – Fifth cycle Housing Element, 2015‐2023 y g , – Due date January 1, 2015 • Review by California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) for compliance with State law • Plan to meet the existing and projected housing needs of all economic segments of the community El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 5 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Element Overview Part 1: Background Report • Housing Needs Assessment – Existing Housing Needs Special Housing Needs – Special Housing Needs – 8‐Year Projected Housing Needs • Housing Resources – Financial Resources – Residential Sites Inventory • Potential Housing Constraints Potential Housing Constraints – Governmental Constraints – Non‐Governmental Constraints El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 6 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Element Overview Part 2: Policy Document • Goals, Policies, Programs, and Quantified Objectives – Adequate residential sites – Assist in development of affordable housing, including special needs housing C d i h i i h i k – Conserve and improve the existing housing stock – Preserve affordable units at‐risk of converting to market rate – Address constraints – Address constraints – Promote equal housing opportunities El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 7 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Element Update This is a minor update of the Housing Element Update p g p that will focus on: • Updated housing and demographic data • New information on the current housing market • Evaluation of the 2007‐2014 Housing Element implementation • Incorporating recent planning efforts: – Climate Action Plan – San Pablo Avenue Specific Plan • Update housing programs as needed to address local priorities El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 priorities 8 ---PAGE BREAK--- 2 Regional Housing Housing Needs Allocation 9 ---PAGE BREAK--- Regional Housing Needs Assessment California California (Housing and Community Development) (Housing and Community Development) g y p g y p ABAG ABAG Association of Bay Area Governments Association of Bay Area Governments Alameda 2014 2014 ‐2022 RHNA = 187,990 units 2022 RHNA = 187,990 units Contra C t Marin Napa San F i San M t Santa Cl Solano Sonoma County 44,036 Costa County 20,630 County 2,298 p County 1,482 Francisco County 28,869 Mateo County 16,418 Clara County 58,836 County 6,977 County 8,444 Antioch 1,448 Brentwood 760 Clayton 141 El Cerrito 398 Hercules 682 Lafayette 400 Concord 3,478 Danville 557 Martinez 469 Moraga 229 Oakley Orinda Pinole Pittsburg Pleasant Hill Richmond San Pablo San R Walnut C k Unincorp. El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 y 1,168 227 297 g 2,025 Hill 448 2,435 449 Ramon 1,417 Creek 2,235 p 1,4367 10 ---PAGE BREAK--- RHNA for El Cerrito by Income Category 2014‐2022 2014‐2022 Income Category RHNA (Target Housing HCD Income Range Range of Affordable Income Category (Target Housing Units) (4‐person household)* Affordable Rent** Extremely Low Income (<30% of Median Income) 50 Up to $28,050 <$700 Very Low Income (<50% of Median Income) 50 $28,050‐$46,750 $701‐$1,170 Low Income (51‐80% of Median Income) 63 $46,750‐$67,600 $1,170‐$1,690 ( ) Moderate Income (81‐120% of Median Income) 69 $67,600‐$112,200 $1,690‐$3,270 b d Above Moderate Income (>120% of Median Income) 166 >$112,200 >$3,270 TOTAL 398 *2014 HCD Area Median Income for 4 person household in Contra Costa County jurisdictions is $93 500 El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 2014 HCD Area Median Income for 4-person household in Contra Costa County jurisdictions is $93,500 **Affordable rent is no more than 30% of household income (35% for moderate and above moderate income) 11 ---PAGE BREAK--- 3 Key Facts and and Findings 12 ---PAGE BREAK--- Demographic Trends 13 ---PAGE BREAK--- Population Growth 24,500 El Cerrito, 2000‐2014 23,649 23,801 23,945 24,087 24,000 23,171 23,354 23,398 23,379 23,305 23,120 23,030 22,952 23,193 23,350 23,549 , 23,500 22,952 22,500 23,000 22,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 14 Source: Department of Finance Population Estimates ---PAGE BREAK--- Population By Age Group El Cerrito, 2000 & 2010 7,226 5,965 6,918 7,036 6 000 7,000 8,000 2000 2010 4,168 4,733 4,038 4,227 4,000 5,000 6,000 1 079 1,330 2,000 3,000 1,079 0 1,000 Preschool Age (0‐4) School Age (5‐24) Young Adults (25‐44) Middle Age (45‐64) Senior Adults (65+) El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 15 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census ---PAGE BREAK--- Population By Age Group 35% El Cerrito and Contra Costa County, 2010 29.4% 29.9% 26.7% 26.5% 27.9% 25% 30% El Cerrito Contra Costa County 17.1% 17.9% 12 4% 15% 20% 5.6% 6.4% 12.4% 5% 10% 15% 0% 5% Preschool Age (0‐4) School Age (5‐24) Young Adults (25‐44) Middle Age (45‐64) Senior Adults (65+) El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 16 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census ---PAGE BREAK--- Race/Ethnicity 60% El Cerrito and Contra Costa County, 2010 48.7% 48.2% 40% 50% El Cerrito Contra Costa County 27.4% 24.6% 30% 40% 7.6% 5.1% 11.2% 9.0% 14.3% 3.8% 10% 20% 0% White, Non‐ Hispanic Black, Non‐ Hispanic Asian, Non‐ Hispanic Two or More Races, Non‐ Hi i Hispanic Of Any Race El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 17 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census Hispanic ---PAGE BREAK--- Household Types El Cerrito, 2011 Contra Costa County, 2011 9% 2011 2011 24% 5% 28% 26% 24% 37% 37% 34% 37% El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 18 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2007‐2011 ACS ---PAGE BREAK--- Average Household Size Area 2000 2010 California 2.87 2.90 Contra Costa County 2 72 2 77 Contra Costa County 2.72 2.77 El Cerrito 2 25 2 31 El Cerrito 2.25 2.31 Source: Association of Bay Area Governments, 2000 and 2010 U.S Census El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 19 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing State Law requires analysis of six special needs groups: • Seniors • People with Disabilities p • Large Households (5 or more) • Single Female Headed Households with Children • Single Female Headed Households with Children • Farmworkers H l • Homeless El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 20 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing Seniors (65 and older) ( ) • In 2010, 18% of the population in El Cerrito were over the age of 65 g – Compared to 12.5% in Contra Costa County • Senior population decreased from p p 20.5% in 2000 El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 21 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing People with disabilities p • In 2011, 2,421 persons, or 10.9%, had one or more type(s) of disability yp ( ) y – Compared to 10.5% in Contra Costa County El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 22 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing Large households (5 or more) Special Needs Housing Large households (5 or more) • In 2010, large households accounted for only 6.5% of all households (or 667 households) all households (or 667 households) – Compared to 13.2% in Contra Costa County El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 23 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing Single female headed households g with children • In 2010, single mothers made up 8% of total families in El Cerrito – Compared to 10.7% in Contra Costa County County • 6% of single mothers had incomes below the poverty level in El Cerrito below the poverty level in El Cerrito – Compared to 22.2% in Contra Costa County El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 24 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing Farmworkers • In 2011, 70 residents were employed in agriculture, or p y g , 0.5% of the employed civilian population El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 25 ---PAGE BREAK--- Special Needs Housing Homeless • In 2013, there were 27 unsheltered homeless people in El Cerrito Thi t f 2% f t t l h lt d h l • This accounts for 2% of total unsheltered homeless people in Contra Costa County – In 2013, there were 747 unsheltered homeless people in In 2013, there were 747 unsheltered homeless people in Contra Costa County El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 Source: Contra Costa Inter‐Jurisdictional Council on Homelessness: Homeless Count 2013 26 ---PAGE BREAK--- Who is Lower Income? • Very Low Income Occupations Home Health Aides – Home Health Aides – Childcare Workers – Cashiers – Paramedics • Low Income Occupations – Preschool Teachers – Administrative Support O l 8 6 t f O l 8 6 t f – Truck Drivers • Moderate Income Occupations – Firefighters Only 8.6 percent of homes in Contra Costa County are affordable Only 8.6 percent of homes in Contra Costa County are affordable – Kindergarten Teachers – Social Workers – Carpenters on a teacher's salary on a teacher's salary Source: Redfin, www.redfin.com/research/reports/special‐ reports/2014/california‐home‐affordability‐for‐ teachers html# El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 Source: California Employment Development Department, Occupational Employment Alameda and Contra Costa Counties (May 2012) and Wage Date (First quarter 2013) 27 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Characteristics 28 ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Types El Cerrito, 2013 13% 1% 13% Single Family Detached Single Family Attached 70% 3% 2‐4 Units 5+ Units Mobile Homes 70% El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 29 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2013 Department of Finance ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Occupancy El Cerrito, 2010 Persons per occupied home 29% 11% 10% 29% 11% 1 Person 2 Persons 17% 2 Persons 3 Persons 4 Persons 33% 4 Persons 5 or More Persons El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 30 Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Tenure 2000 2010 Contra Costa County El Cerrito Source: ABAG Pre‐Approved Data Package El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 31 Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census ---PAGE BREAK--- Housing Market Trends 32 ---PAGE BREAK--- Median Home Sale Price Compared to Neighboring Jurisdictions, 2013 $565,000 $412,500 El Cerrito Brentwood $595,000 $350,000 $1,070,000 Clayton Hercules Lafayette $ , , $912,500 $1,017,000 y Moraga Orinda $315,000 $216,491 $225,000 Pinole Richmond San Pablo 2013 countywide median sale price: $410,000 $797,774 $576,375 San Ramon Walnut Creek El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 Source: DQNews, accessed July 2014 33 ---PAGE BREAK--- Median Home Sale Price Compared to Neighboring Jurisdictions, 2013 $565,000 $603,000 El Cerrito Albany $752,375 $350,000 Berkeley Emeryville $350,000 $407,004 Hercules Oakland $315,000 $216,491 Pinole Richmond $225,000 $576,375 San Pablo Walnut Creek El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 Source: DQNews, accessed July 2014 34 ---PAGE BREAK--- Home Affordability $800,000 MedianHome Sale Prices El Cerrito, 2004‐2014 vs. Ability to Pay by Income $600,000 $700,000 What can different households* afford? 2014 El Cerrito median sale price: $643,300 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 Moderate‐Income Household Earning $95,600* households afford? $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $95,600 Low‐Income Household Earning $55,750* Very Low‐Income $0 Jun 2004 Jun 2005 Jun 2006 Jun 2007 Jun 2008 Jun 2009 Jun 2010 Jun 2011 Jun 2012 Jun 2013 y Household Earning $39,850* El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 * Based on a 3‐person household. Source: zillow.com, accessed July 2014 35 ---PAGE BREAK--- Rental Affordability $3 000 Average Rents El Cerrito, 2006‐2014, by Bedroom vs. Ability to Pay by Income Level $2,500 $3,000 What can different households* afford? $1,500 $2,000 Moderate‐Income Household Earning $95,600* h ld $500 $1,000 Low‐Income Household Earning $55,750* Very Low‐Income Household Earning $39 850* $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 A R t 1 B d 1 B th 2 B d 1 B th 2 B d 2 B th $39,850* El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 Average Rent 1 Bedroom 1 Bath 2 Bedroom 1 Bath 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 36 *Based on a 3‐person household. Source: realfacts.com ---PAGE BREAK--- 4 Process and Schedule Schedule 37 ---PAGE BREAK--- Proposed Schedule Milestone Schedule Community Workshop #1 July 19, 2014 Community Workshop #2 August 13, 2014 Public Review Draft September 2014 Planning Commission Study Session October 2014 City Council Study Session October 2014 HCD Review of Draft Housing Element October 2014 Planning Commission Adoption Hearing January 2015 City Council Adoption Hearings February 2015 El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 38 ---PAGE BREAK--- Questions? 39 ---PAGE BREAK--- Discussion Questions • What are the major housing issues in the city? What are the major housing issues in the city? • What members of the community are most in need of housing and housing related services? need of housing and housing‐related services? • What are the barriers to affordable housing? • What can the City and community do to address these issues and barriers? address these issues and barriers? El Cerrito, 2015‐2023 Housing Element Update Community Workshop #1 I July 19, 2014 40