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Note to Readers: The following utilizes U.S. Census data which is organized by different geographic units. Ranging from smallest to largest, these include blocks, block groups, census tracts, incorporated areas, counties, state, and nation. The census 2000 is the most recent data available for geographic units smaller than the county level. The Greeley Neighborhood is located in approximately the northern half of Block Groups 1, 4, and 5 in Census Tract 4. Although some information, such as total population, can be acquired by blocks and totaled within the Greeley Neighborhood Boundary, some data are suppressed at this level for privacy purposes. It is possible that information for the larger units may not accurately reflect the exact conditions within the neighborhood. Readers are encouraged to contact Anne Cossitt ([EMAIL REDACTED]) of the Cossitt Consulting Team that prepared this draft if there are comments or suggestions on improving the quality of the information in this report. DRAFT – DRAFT - DRAFT GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD POPULATION POPULATION – EXISTING CONDITIONS Total population in the Greeley Neighborhood was 1,429 persons in 2000 (BSB GIS). The area appears to be in a continued trend of declining population. Population had been declining in Butte and throughout the county since 1920, when county population peaked at 60,313. By 2000, total population of the county had declined by nearly 26,000 persons. The historic core of Butte north of the Interstate continued to lose population from 1990 to 2000, but the decade marked the first since 1920 to reverse the trend of overall population loss county-wide. County population increased by 665 persons between 1990 and 2000, mostly in areas north, east and south on the periphery or outside Butte urban limits (in census tracts 6, 7 and (BSB Growth Policy, pgs 3-2, 3-4) Table 1. Population Change 1990-2000 Numeric POPULATION 2000 1990 Change % CHANGE CENSUS CENSUS 1990 to 2000 1990 to 2000 Greeley Neighborhood 1,429 NA NA NA Census Tract 4 4,100 4,141 -41 -1.0% Butte-Silver Bow 34,606 33,941 665 2.0% Montana 902,195 799,065 103,130 12.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, accessed via American Fact Finder GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD PLAN - DRAFT Population Page 1 ---PAGE BREAK--- The Greeley Neighborhood includes portions of block groups 1, 4, and 5 in Census Tract 4. The median age of block group 1 is younger than most of Montana and mirrors the national median age. Block group 4 is the oldest area of the neighborhood, with a median age of 39.6, higher than the median age for the county, the state, or the nation. Table 2. Median Age - 2000 Census Tract 4 Block Group 1 35.3 Block Group 4 39.6 Block Group 5 37.3 Butte-Silver Bow 38.9 Montana 37.5 Nation 35.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, accessed via American Fact Finder Table 3 shows the change in age cohorts between 1990 and 2000. The proportion of the population less than 18 years of age in the Greeley neighborhood (25.2%) is higher than the county’s The “less than 18 years” age group increased as a percentage of overall population between 1990 and 2000 in Census Tract 4 but declined in the county and the state. The proportion of persons age 65 and older was 17% in the Greeley Neighborhood in 2000, and data from Census Tract 4 suggest that population in this age group is declining This will likely change, however, with the aging of the “baby boom” generation. Projections for 2030 indicate that the 65+ age cohort will comprise over 26% of Butte-Silver Bow population. (BSB Growth Policy, pg 3-6) Table 3. Greeley Neighborhood Population by Age, 1990 and 2000 Total Population Less than 18 years 18-64 years 65 years and over Greeley 1990 NA NA NA NA 2000 1,429 25.2% 57.9% 16.9% Census Tract 4 1990 4,141 24.6% 57.5% 17.9% 2000 4,100 24.8% 58.6% 16.7% Butte-Silver Bow 1990 33,941 24.9% 58.1% 17.1% 2000 34,606 23.7% 60.3% 16.0% Montana 1990 799,065 27.8% 58.9% 13.3% 2000 902,195 25.5% 61.1% 13.4% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, accessed via American Fact Finder GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD PLAN - DRAFT Population Page 2 ---PAGE BREAK--- There were 608 households in the Greeley Neighborhood in 2000, of which 54% (371) were family households. The neighborhood has a considerably smaller proportion of family households compared to Montana (66%) or the nation Non-family households consist of individuals living alone or with other non-related persons. Average household size in the Greeley Neighborhood was 2.11 persons. (U.S. Census 2000) Table 4. Household Type - 2000 Total Households Family Households Non-Family Households # % % Greeley Neighborhood 691 53.7 46.3 Butte-Silver Bow 14,432 61.9 38.1 Montana 66.2 33.8 Nation 68.1 31.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, accessed via American Fact Finder The Greeley Neighborhood Area, as evidenced by Census Tract 4, has a higher percentage of high school graduates and a lower percentage of persons with a bachelor’s degree or higher when compared to Montana and the nation. Table 5. Educational Attainment - 2000 % High School Graduate % Bachelor's Degree or Higher Census Tract 4 41.7 11.4 Montana 31.3 17.2 Nation 28.6 15.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Table DP-2, accessed via American Fact Finder GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD PLAN - DRAFT Population Page 3 ---PAGE BREAK--- In 2000, the area of the Greeley Neighborhood was predominately one race and white (96.5% of total population), with American Indians and persons of two or more races comprising the next largest population sectors. Table 6. Racial Characteristics - 2000 One race; White; Percent One race; American Indian and Alaska Native; Percent Two or more races; Percent Census Tract 4 96.5 1.5 0.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Summary File 1, accessed via American Fact Finder Census Tract 4 had a higher median household income ($31,730) in 1999 than Butte-Silver Bow overall, but median family income fell below county, state, and national figures. Table 7. Personal Income -1999 Median Household Income Median Family Income Census Tract 4 $ 31,730 $ 37,708 Butte Silver Bow $ 30,402 $ 40,018 Montana $ 33,024 $ 40,487 Nation $ 41,994 $ 50,046 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Table DP-3, accessed via American Fact Finder The poverty rate in Census Tract 4 was less than the state and the nation. Table 8. Families and Individuals Below Poverty Level - 1999 Families, % below Poverty Individuals, % below poverty level Census Tract 4 6.1 7.4 Butte Silver Bow 10.7 14.9 Montana 10.5 14.6 Nation 9.2 12.4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Table DP-3, accessed via American Fact Finder GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD PLAN - DRAFT Population Page 4 ---PAGE BREAK--- POPULATION PROJECTIONS Population projections from NPA Data Services, released in 2008, indicate that Butte- Silver Bow will see continued population declines through 2020 and then a gradual rebound. The population of Census Tract 4 remained nearly constant (a one percent loss) between 1990 and 2000. If and how the neighborhood will grow will depend on how competitive it is in retaining current residents and attracting new residents. Figure 1: Butte-Silver Bow Population Projection 2000-2030 30,000 31,000 32,000 33,000 34,000 35,000 2000 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: “Montana Population Projections” prepared by CEIC, using data from NPA Data Services Inc. issued 2008 Sources BSB GIS: See Butte Silver Bow GIS Department. BSB Growth Policy: see Butte Silver Bow Growth Policy. Butte-Silver Bow County Growth Policy – 2008 Update. Accessed from Butte-Silver Bow website, May 2010. http://co.silverbow.mt.us/departments/documents/Butte- SilverBowGrowthPolicy2008Update-Final.pdf Butte-Silver Bow GIS Department – compilation of 2000 U.S. census data Montana Department of Health and Human Services. Homeless Survey web page. Site accessed May 22, 2010. http://www.mthomeless.org/ U.S. Census 2000. FactFinder Website. Accessed in May 2010. http://factfinder.census.gov/home/saff/main.html?_lang=en Population numbers and age cohorts for the neighborhoods derived from census block numbers within the neighborhood boundaries. Block numbers identified by Butte-Silver Bow GIS Department. Data derived from Summary File 1 Data and Tables DP-1, DP-2, and DP-3. GREELEY NEIGHBORHOOD PLAN - DRAFT Population Page 5